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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 232

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #232

Michael Gaines

Drafted by CAR — GM Marty Hurney · Central Florida

2004

2
TEs drafted at #232 in NFL history
most recent: Keith Zinger (ATL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a tight end at #232 a 7.3% chance in 2004.

Tight end at #232, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.7% 2004: 7.3%

Peak: 19.7% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart