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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 230

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Sheldon Jackson

Drafted by BUF — GM John Butler · Nebraska

1999

3
TEs drafted at #230 in NFL history
most recent: Rob Blanchflower (PIT, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a tight end at #230 a 7.8% chance in 1999.

Tight end at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.4% 1999: 7.8%

Peak: 19.4% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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