Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 220

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #220

Jeff Dugan

Drafted by MIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski · Maryland

2004

2
TEs drafted at #220 in NFL history
most recent: Zack Kuntz (NYJ, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a tight end at #220 a 7.2% chance in 2004.

Tight end at #220, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.9% 2004: 7.2%

Peak: 17.9% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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