Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 215

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #215

Ben Patrick

Drafted by ARI — GM Rod Graves · Delaware

2007

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a tight end at #215 a 6.3% chance in 2007.

Tight end at #215, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.3% 2007: 6.3%

Peak: 17.3% · 2027 model: 6.8%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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