TE · pick 212 — first ever tight end at #212 (1996)

TE·pick 212

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #212

Jarius Hayes

Drafted by ARI — GM Bob Ferguson · North Alabama

1996

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a tight end at #212 a 8.1% chance in 1996.

Tight end at #212, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.9% · 2027 model: 6.8%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#207CBWendell DavisDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#208OGMarco RiveraGB — GM Ron Wolf
#209ST.J. CunninghamSEA — GM Mike Allman
#210SChris HayesNYJ — GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan
#211CBen LynchKC — GM Carl Peterson
#213OTLeslie RatliffeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#214CBConrad HamiltonNYG — GM George Young
#215LBJeremy AsherWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#216TELovett PurnellNE — GM Bill Parcells
#217WRDonnell BakerCAR — GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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