TE · pick 207 — first ever tight end at #207 (2008)

TE·pick 207

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #207

Matt Sherry

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Villanova

2008

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a tight end at #207 a 6.3% chance in 2008.

Tight end at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

#202RBMike HartIND — GM Bill Polian
#203LBAndy StudebakerPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#204RBLex HilliardMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#205WRPierre GarconIND — GM Bill Polian
#206SHaruki NakamuraBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#208DEErvin BaldwinCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#209QBMatt FlynnGB — GM Ted Thompson
#210DEBrian JohnstonKC — GM Carl Peterson
#211OTNate GarnerNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#212CBWilrey FontenotATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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