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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 204

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #204

Jason Gavadza

Drafted by PIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Kent St.

2000

2
TEs drafted at #204 in NFL history
most recent: Virgil Green (DEN, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a tight end at #204 a 7.2% chance in 2000.

Tight end at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.0% 2000: 7.2%

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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