Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 201

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #201

Hayward Clay

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Texas A&M

1996

4
TEs drafted at #201 in NFL history
most recent: Bucky Hodges (MIN, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a tight end at #201 a 8.1% chance in 1996.

Tight end at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.7% 1996: 8.1%

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart