TE · pick 197 — first ever tight end at #197 (1996)

TE·pick 197

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #197

Tony Johnson

Drafted by PHI — GM Tom Modrak · Alabama

1996

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a tight end at #197 a 8.0% chance in 1996.

Tight end at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#192CBryan StoltenbergLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#193RBScott GreeneCAR — GM Bill Polian
#194DESteve WhitePHI — GM Tom Modrak
#195RBMarrio GrierNE — GM Bill Parcells
#196RBLeon NealBUF — GM John Butler
#198RBStephen PittsSF — GM Carmen Policy
#199WRPhillip RileyPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#200DTOrpheus RoyePIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#201TEHayward ClayLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#202CDusty ZeiglerBUF — GM John Butler

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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