TE · pick 196 — first ever tight end at #196 (2002)

TE·pick 196

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #196

John Gilmore

Drafted by NO — GM Mickey Loomis · Penn St.

2002

TEs drafted at #196 in NFL history

most recent: Tom Santi (IND, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a tight end at #196 a 7.3% chance in 2002.

Tight end at #196, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.2% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#191TEJeb PutzierDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#192OTReggie ColemanWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#193DEJohn StamperTB — GM Rich McKay
#194STCraig JarrettSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#195CBLamont BrightfulBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#197RBLarry NedLV — GM Al Davis era
#198LBTyreo HarrisonPHI — GM Andy Reid
#199RBAdrian PetersonCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#200OGMike HoughtonGB — GM Mike Sherman
#201TEMark AnelliSF — GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2008Tom SantiIND — GM Bill Polian · Virginia
2005Tony JacksonSEA — GM Tim Ruskell · Iowa

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