TE · pick 195 — first ever tight end at #195 (1987)

TE·pick 195

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #195

William Harris

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Bishop

1987

TEs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Malcolm Johnson (CLE, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a tight end at #195 a 7.8% chance in 1987.

Tight end at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.1% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#190OTHarry SwayneTB — GM Phil Krueger
#191STBill SmithGB — GM Tom Braatz
#192CBJohnny ThomasWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#193OTArchie HarrisCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#194TEWilbur StrozierDEN — GM John Beake

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2015Malcolm JohnsonCLE — GM Ray Farmer · Mississippi St.
2001Dan O'LearyBUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Notre Dame
1998Lawrence HartNYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Southern

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