Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 176

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #176

Nelson, OrlandoOrlando Nelson

Drafted by CIN · Utah State

1976

2
TEs drafted at #176 in NFL history
most recent: Kaden Smith (SF, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a tight end at #176 a 5.1% chance in 1976.

Tight end at #176, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.3% 1976: 5.1%

Peak: 13.3% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart