TE · pick 174 — first ever tight end at #174 (1988)

TE·pick 174

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #174

Pat Kelly

Drafted by DEN — GM John Beake · Syracuse

1988

TEs drafted at #174 in NFL history

most recent: Eric Saubert (ATL, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1987, the model gave a tight end at #174 a 8.3% chance in 1988.

Tight end at #174, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.2% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 1988 draft

#169WRJeff JamesDET — GM Russ Thomas
#170LBTroy StedmanKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#171SDerrick CrudupLV — GM Al Davis
#172RBGary PattonNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#173CBGary RichardGB — GM Tom Braatz
#175QBMike PerezNYG — GM George Young
#176WRTodd WhitePHI — GM Harry Gamble
#177OTTim BorckyBUF — GM Bill Polian
#178OTOwen HoovenDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#179WRErnie JonesARI — GM Bill Bidwill

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2017Eric SaubertATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Drake
2011Charles ClayMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Tulsa
2002Keith HeinrichCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Sam Houston St.
1997Itula MiliSEA — GM Mike Allman · BYU
1992Deems MayLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · North Carolina

→ see this cell on the full chart