TE · pick 171 — first ever tight end at #171 (2015)

TE·pick 171

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #171

Nick Boyle

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Delaware

2015

TEs drafted at #171 in NFL history

most recent: Payne Durham (TB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2014, the model gave a tight end at #171 a 5.3% chance in 2015.

Tight end at #171, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.9% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 2015 draft

#166STJoe CardonaNE — GM Bill Belichick
#167CBDamian SwannNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#168RBMichael BurtonDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#169LBDavid MayoCAR — GM Dave Gettleman
#170CBTye SmithSEA — GM John Schneider
#172LBD.J. AlexanderKC — GM John Dorsey
#173TEJames O'ShaughnessyKC — GM John Dorsey
#174RBCameron Artis-PayneCAR — GM Dave Gettleman
#175WRKeith MumpheryHOU — GM Rick Smith
#176OGRobert MyersBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Payne DurhamTB — GM Jason Licht · Purdue

→ see this cell on the full chart