TE · pick 170 — first ever tight end at #170 (1979)

TE·pick 170

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #170

Tom Mullady

Drafted by BUF · Rhodes

1979

TEs drafted at #170 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Royer (CLE, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a tight end at #170 a 5.6% chance in 1979.

Tight end at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.8% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#165STMatt BahrPIT
#166RBPhil FrancisSF
#167DEKen KremerKC
#168OGMax MontoyaCIN
#169LBLarry PolowskiSEA
#172TESteve AlversNYG
#173WRKirk GibsonARI
#174LBLee KunzCHI
#175OTMatia, JackJack MatiaLV
#176LBStan SytsmaNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2026Joe RoyerCLE · Cincinnati
2022Teagan QuitorianoHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Oregon St.
2010Fendi OnobunLAR — GM Billy Devaney · Arizona
1982Dan JohnsonMIA — GM Don Shula · Iowa St.

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