TE·pick 169
Jay Carroll
Drafted by TB — GM Phil Krueger · Minnesota
1984
5
TEs drafted at #169 in NFL history
most recent: Riley Nowakowski (PIT, 2026)
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a tight end at #169 a 6.5% chance in 1984.
Tight end at #169, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 12.7% · 2027 model: 7.6%
Surrounding picks · 1984 draft
- #164CBChris Brown
- #165LBRowland Tatum
- #166OGJoe Levelis
- #167OTCurt Singer
- #168SStacey Toran
- #170RBWillie Joyner
- #171WRLionel Manuel
- #172RBJoe Hayes
- #173CBKevin Ross
- #174WRJesse Bendross
Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks
- 2026Riley Nowakowski
- 2004Ryan Krause
- 2002Ryan Hannam
- 1993Clarence Williams