Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 168

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #168

Bob Williams

Drafted by BUF — GM Bill Polian · Penn St.

1986

3
TEs drafted at #168 in NFL history
most recent: Zach Davidson (MIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a tight end at #168 a 7.3% chance in 1986.

Tight end at #168, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.6% 1986: 7.3%

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 7.6%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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