Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 166

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #166

Steve Smith

Drafted by CIN · Miami (FL)

1968

3
TEs drafted at #166 in NFL history
most recent: Quinn Sypniewski (BAL, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Tight end at #166, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.5%

Peak: 12.5% · 2027 model: 7.6%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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