Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 164

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Jim McFarland

Drafted by ARI · Nebraska

1970

4
TEs drafted at #164 in NFL history
most recent: Tanner Koziol (JAX, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a tight end at #164 a 4.9% chance in 1970.

Tight end at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.3% 1970: 4.9%

Peak: 12.3% · 2027 model: 7.6%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart