TE · pick 161 — first ever tight end at #161 (2003)

TE·pick 161

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #161

Aaron Walker

Drafted by SF — GM Terry Donahue · Florida

2003

TEs drafted at #161 in NFL history

most recent: John Nalbone (MIA, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a tight end at #161 a 7.6% chance in 2003.

Tight end at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.0% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#156TEDonald LeeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#157OGBen ClaxtonDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#158WRAdrian MadiseDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#159WRJon OlingerATL — GM Harold Richardson
#160OGDavid DiehlNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#162LBKeyon WhitesideIND — GM Bill Polian
#163QBBrian St. PierrePIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#164CDan KoppenNE — GM Bill Belichick
#165RBChris DavisSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#166LBHunter HillenmeyerGB — GM Mike Sherman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2009John NalboneMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Monmouth

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