Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 158

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Jim Obradovich

Drafted by NYG · USC

1975

7
TEs drafted at #158 in NFL history
most recent: Luke Willson (SEA, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a tight end at #158 a 5.4% chance in 1975.

Tight end at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.8% 1975: 5.4%

Peak: 11.8% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart