TE · pick 157 — first ever tight end at #157 (1976)

TE·pick 157

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #157

Alvis Darby

Drafted by SEA · Florida

1976

TEs drafted at #157 in NFL history

most recent: Tyler Conklin (MIN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a tight end at #157 a 5.2% chance in 1976.

Tight end at #157, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.7% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#152LBNorton, RodneyRodney NortonPIT
#153CBErnie JonesSEA
#154OTSteve WilsonTB
#155WRDwight ScalesLAR
#156RBBates, LarryLarry BatesSEA
#158SCurtis JordanTB
#159DTGary DunnPIT
#160OGTerry StieveNO
#161OTDan JiggettsCHI
#162LBDan LloydNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2018Tyler ConklinMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Central Michigan
2015C.J. UzomahCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Auburn
2000James WhalenTB — GM Rich McKay · Kentucky
1994Roderick LewisTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Arizona
1993Carlos EtheredgeIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff · Miami (FL)
1992Mark ChmuraGB — GM Ron Wolf · Boston Col.
1979Bill MurrellPIT · Winston-Salem State

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