TE · pick 156 — first ever tight end at #156 (2003)

TE·pick 156

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #156

Donald Lee

Drafted by MIA — GM Rick Spielman · Mississippi St.

2003

TEs drafted at #156 in NFL history

most recent: Troy Fumagalli (DEN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a tight end at #156 a 7.5% chance in 2003.

Tight end at #156, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.6% · 2027 model: 7.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#151OTBen SobieskiBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#152CBMichael LehanCLE — GM Butch Davis
#153OTJordan BlackKC — GM Carl Peterson
#154SDonnie NickeyTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#155DEMelvin WilliamsNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#157OGBen ClaxtonDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#158WRAdrian MadiseDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#159WRJon OlingerATL — GM Harold Richardson
#160OGDavid DiehlNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#161TEAaron WalkerSF — GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Troy FumagalliDEN — GM John Elway · Wisconsin

→ see this cell on the full chart