TE · pick 152 — first ever tight end at #152 (1979)

TE·pick 152

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #152

Joe Senser

Drafted by MIN · West Chester

1979

TEs drafted at #152 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Joly (DEN, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a tight end at #152 a 5.5% chance in 1979.

Tight end at #152, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.3% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#147LBJohn SullivanCHI
#148LBJeff McIntyreDEN
#149OGDufek, BillBill DufekNYJ
#150OTMoore, JimJim MooreIND
#151SClinton BurrellCLE
#153LBDave SimmonsGB
#154QBMike MoroskiATL
#155CBLavender, TimTim LavenderDAL
#156CBHenry WilliamsLV
#157TEBill MurrellPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2026Justin JolyDEN · North Carolina St.
2009James CaseyHOU — GM Rick Smith · Rice

→ see this cell on the full chart