TE · pick 15 — first ever tight end at #15 (1985)

TE·pick 15

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #15

Ethan Horton

Drafted by KC — GM Jim Schaaf · North Carolina

1985

TEs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Johnny Mitchell (NYJ, 1992)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a tight end at #15 a 5.5% chance in 1985.

Tight end at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#10WRAl ToonNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#11CBRichard JohnsonTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#12OTJim LacheyLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#13WREddie BrownCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#14CBDerrick BurroughsBUF — GM Bill Polian
#16WRJerry RiceSF — GM John McVay
#17DTKevin BrooksDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#18DEFreddie Joe NunnARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#19RBGeorge AdamsNYG — GM George Young
#20DEDarryl SimsPIT — GM Dick Haley

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1992Johnny MitchellNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · Nebraska

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