TE · pick 146 — first ever tight end at #146 (1998)

TE·pick 146

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #146

Blake Spence

Drafted by NYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Oregon

1998

TEs drafted at #146 in NFL history

most recent: George Kittle (SF, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a tight end at #146 a 6.9% chance in 1998.

Tight end at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.8% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#141OGDoug KarczewskiNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#142LBIke ReesePHI — GM Tom Modrak
#143OGScott ShawMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#144CBKerry CooksMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#145LBRon MerkersonNE — GM Bobby Grier
#147OTToby MylesNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#148CJohn WadeJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#149OTEric BatemanNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#150WRCorey BradfordGB — GM Ron Wolf
#151OGPhil OstrowskiSF — GM Carmen Policy

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017George KittleSF — GM John Lynch · Iowa

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