TE · pick 124 — first ever tight end at #124 (1970)

TE·pick 124

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #124

Gary Arthur

Drafted by NYJ · Miami (OH)

1970

TEs drafted at #124 in NFL history

most recent: John Bates (WAS, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a tight end at #124 a 5.3% chance in 1970.

Tight end at #124, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.1% · 2027 model: 8.0%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#119RBFarrar, PettusPettus FarrarLAC
#120DECecil PryorGB
#121RBDanny PierceWAS
#122DEBilly NewsomeIND
#123OGParker, BobBob ParkerDET
#125RBSteve EngelCLE
#126QBSteve RamseyNO
#128OTArt LasterLV
#129RBGreg JonesMIN
#130CMike OriardKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021John BatesWAS — GM Ron Rivera · Boise St.
1991Ben CoatesNE — GM Sam Jankovich · Livingstone
1983Malcolm ScottNYG — GM George Young · LSU

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