TE · pick 123 — first ever tight end at #123 (1967)

TE·pick 123

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #123

Jamie Rivers

Drafted by ARI · Bowling Green

1967 · earliest year in the data window

TEs drafted at #123 in NFL history

most recent: Cade Stover (HOU, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Tight end at #123, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.1% · 2027 model: 8.0%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#118DTWillie ParkerTEN
#119STBruce AlfordCHI
#120DTRandy MatsonATL
#121LBBernard EricksonLAC
#122SNate ShawLAR
#124RBGerald WarfieldLV
#125TEDick AbsherPHI
#126LBRon PorterIND
#127CBZeke MooreTEN
#128DEMelvin WittNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2024Cade StoverHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Ohio St.
2018Durham SmytheMIA — GM Chris Grier · Notre Dame
1991Duane YoungLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · Michigan St.
1975Greg McCraryATL · Clark Atlanta
1971Bob MooreLV · Stanford

→ see this cell on the full chart