TE · pick 118 — first ever tight end at #118 (2002)

TE·pick 118

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #118

Chris Luzar

Drafted by JAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Virginia

2002

TEs drafted at #118 in NFL history

most recent: Albert Okwuegbunam (DEN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a tight end at #118 a 5.8% chance in 2002.

Tight end at #118, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#113DTNate DwyerARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#114TERandy McMichaelMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#115CBTony BeckhamTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#116OGMartin BiblaATL — GM Harold Richardson
#117QBRohan DaveyNE — GM Bill Belichick
#119RBTravis StephensTB — GM Rich McKay
#120STerreal BierriaSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#121DTAlan HarperNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#122TEDarnell SandersCLE — GM Butch Davis
#123WRRon JohnsonBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020Albert OkwuegbunamDEN — GM John Elway · Missouri
2010Garrett GrahamHOU — GM Rick Smith · Wisconsin

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