TE · pick 104 — first ever tight end at #104 (2003)

TE·pick 104

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #104

George Wrighster

Drafted by JAX — GM James Harris · Oregon

2003

TEs drafted at #104 in NFL history

most recent: Luke Stocker (TB, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a tight end at #104 a 6.4% chance in 2003.

Tight end at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.4% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#99RBArtose PinnerDET — GM Matt Millen
#100STodd JohnsonCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#101RBDomanick WilliamsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#102OGMontrae HollandNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#103LBBradie JamesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#105RBOnterrio SmithMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#106WRShaun McDonaldLAR — GM Charley Armey
#107CBDeJuan GroceLAR — GM Charley Armey
#108RBQuentin GriffinDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#109DEJarret JohnsonBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011Luke StockerTB — GM Mark Dominik · Tennessee

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