TE · pick 103 — first ever tight end at #103 (1979)

TE·pick 103

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #103

Don Warren

Drafted by WAS · San Diego State

1979

TEs drafted at #103 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Peelle (LAC, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a tight end at #103 a 5.3% chance in 1979.

Tight end at #103, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.4% · 2027 model: 8.2%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#97QBSteve DilsMIN
#98CBJohnny LynnNYJ
#100RBLynn CainATL
#101CBCharles JohnsonATL
#102TEMark BellSEA
#104WRJohn FloydLAC
#105CBCharles JeffersonDEN
#106STEddie HareNE
#107RBSteve HowellMIA
#108DTJerry WilkinsonLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2002Justin PeelleLAC — GM John Butler · Oregon
1991Adrian CooperPIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Oklahoma
1987Jim RiggsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Clemson

→ see this cell on the full chart