ST · pick 87 — first ever specialist at #87 (1983)

ST·pick 87

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #87

Chuck Nelson

Drafted by LAR — GM Don Klosterman · Washington

1983

STs drafted at #87 in NFL history

most recent: B.J. Sander (GB, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a specialist at #87 a 2.3% chance in 1983.

Specialist at #87, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.1% · 2027 model: 0.8%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#82LBTony CaldwellLV — GM Al Davis
#83CBSteve BrownTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#84DECharles MannWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#85WRPhil SmithIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#86CBGreg HillTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#88TEMike McCloskeyTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#89RBMichael WilliamsPHI — GM Jim Murray
#90STom HolmoeSF — GM John McVay
#91OGTom ThayerCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#92TERon WetzelKC — GM Jim Schaaf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2004B.J. SanderGB — GM Mike Sherman · Ohio St.

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