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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 86

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #86

Morten Andersen

Drafted by NO — GM Ken Meyer/staff · Michigan St.

1982

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a specialist at #86 a 2.3% chance in 1982.

Specialist at #86, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.1% 1982: 2.3%

Peak: 5.1% · 2027 model: 0.8%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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