ST · pick 77 — first ever specialist at #77 (1985)

ST·pick 77

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #77

Dale Hatcher

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw · Clemson

1985

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a specialist at #77 a 2.0% chance in 1985.

Specialist at #77, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.9% · 2027 model: 0.6%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#72OGLance SmithARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#73CBrian JohnstonNYG — GM George Young
#74SLiffort HobleyPIT — GM Dick Haley
#75RBRicky MooreSF — GM John McVay
#76OGCrawford KerDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#78WRJames ManessCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#79WRTim MoffettLV — GM Al Davis
#80CBStefon AdamsLV — GM Al Davis
#81WRDanny GreeneSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#82CMike KelleyTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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