ST · pick 70 — first ever specialist at #70 (1993)

ST·pick 70

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #70

Jason Elam

Drafted by DEN — GM John Beake · Hawaii

1993

STs drafted at #70 in NFL history

most recent: Bryan Anger (JAX, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a specialist at #70 a 2.0% chance in 1993.

Specialist at #70, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.8% · 2027 model: 0.6%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

#65SRay BuchananIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#66LBMarcus BuckleyNYG — GM George Young
#67STHarold AlexanderATL — GM Ken Herock
#68OGMike ComptonDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#69SRondell JonesDEN — GM John Beake
#71LBRick HamiltonWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#72CBJames TrappLV — GM Al Davis
#73RBRussell WhiteLAR — GM John Shaw
#74OGWill ShieldsKC — GM Carl Peterson
#75CBDerrick FrazierPHI — GM Harry Gamble

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2012Bryan AngerJAX — GM Gene Smith · California

→ see this cell on the full chart