ST · pick 59 — first ever specialist at #59 (2016)

ST·pick 59

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #59

Roberto Aguayo

Drafted by TB — GM Jason Licht · Florida St.

2016

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a specialist at #59 a 0.74% chance in 2016.

Specialist at #59, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 0.5%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

#54CBMackensie AlexanderMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#55WRTyler BoydCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#56OGCody WhitehairCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#57ST.J. GreenIND — GM Ryan Grigson
#58CBSean DavisPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#60CBCyrus JonesNE — GM Bill Belichick
#61SVonn BellNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#62CBJames BradberryCAR — GM Dave Gettleman
#63DTAdam GotsisDEN — GM John Elway
#64SKevin ByardTEN — GM Jon Robinson

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart