ST · pick 51 — first ever specialist at #51 (1976)

ST·pick 51

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #51

Chris Bahr

Drafted by CIN · Penn State

1976

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a specialist at #51 a 1.5% chance in 1976.

Specialist at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 0.4%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#46TEDavid HillDET
#47QBMike KruczekPIT
#48TEMike BarberTEN
#49TELoaird McCrearyMIA
#50QBJeb BlountLV
#52OTJoe DevlinBUF
#53LBRon McCartneyLAR
#54WRSammy WhiteMIN
#55OGJim EidsonDAL
#56CFiles, JamesJames FilesPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart