ST · pick 47 — first ever specialist at #47 (2005)

ST·pick 47

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #47

Mike Nugent

Drafted by NYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Ohio St.

2005

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a specialist at #47 a 1.4% chance in 2005.

Specialist at #47, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 0.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#42LBKevin BurnettDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#43CBCorey WebsterNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#44RBJ.J. ArringtonARI — GM Rod Graves
#45LBLofa TatupuSEA — GM Tim Ruskell
#46DEMatt RothMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#48LBOdell ThurmanCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#49OGMarcus JohnsonMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#50CBRon BartellLAR — GM Charley Armey
#51SNick CollinsGB — GM Ted Thompson
#52OTKhalif BarnesJAX — GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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