ST · pick 46 — first ever specialist at #46 (1977)

ST·pick 46

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #46

Tom Skladany

Drafted by CLE · Ohio State

1977

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a specialist at #46 a 1.6% chance in 1977.

Specialist at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 0.4%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#41LBTerry BeesonSEA
#42CBWalt WilliamsDET
#43CBMike SpiveyCHI
#44RBHorace IvoryNE
#45RBRob LytleDEN
#47RBGeorge FranklinARI
#48RBSidney ThorntonPIT
#49RBPete JohnsonCIN
#50RBBilly WaddyLAR
#51LBPeter CronanSEA

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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