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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 32

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #32

John Lee

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · UCLA

1986

Editor's note

Round 1 stops at the kicker line

Pick 32 closes round one in the modern era. No team has ever spent a first-rounder on a kicker, punter, or long snapper in 60 drafts. Janikowski at #17 (2000) is the only ST cell anywhere near the top of the chart; the next-highest is John Lee, the Cardinals' second-rounder at #32 in 1986. That's it for premium specialists.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a specialist at #32 a 1.5% chance in 1986.

Specialist at #32, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.6% 1986: 1.5%

Peak: 4.6% · 2027 model: 0.3%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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