ST·pick 261
No specialist has ever been drafted at #261
1967–present, every common draft.
How likely is this to become a draftigami?
The model gives a 6.31% chance this becomes a draftigami in the 2027 draft.
Specialist at #261, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 12.2% · 2027 model: 6.0%