ST · pick 254 — first ever specialist at #254 (2021)

ST·pick 254

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #254

Pressley Harvin III

Drafted by PIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Georgia Tech

2021

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2020, the model gave a specialist at #254 a 4.3% chance in 2021.

Specialist at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.5% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2021 draft

#249WRBen SkowronekLAR — GM Les Snead
#250DTKhyiris TongaCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#251CBChris WilcoxTB — GM Jason Licht
#252DEChris GarrettLAR — GM Les Snead
#253DEMarquiss SpencerDEN — GM George Paton
#255WRKawaan BakerNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#256RBKylin HillGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#257RBJermar JeffersonDET — GM Brad Holmes
#258WRDax MilneWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#259LBGrant StuardTB — GM Jason Licht

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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