ST · pick 251 — first ever specialist at #251 (2012)

ST·pick 251

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #251

John Potter

Drafted by BUF — GM Buddy Nix · Western Michigan

2012

STs drafted at #251 in NFL history

most recent: Julian Ashby (NE, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a specialist at #251 a 2.7% chance in 2012.

Specialist at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.3% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#246CBTerrence FrederickPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#247TEBrad SmelleyCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#248OTKelvin BeachumPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#249DTTravian RobertsonATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#250RBEdwin BakerLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#252RBDaryl RichardsonLAR — GM Les Snead
#253QBChandler HarnishIND — GM Ryan Grigson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2025Julian AshbyNE — GM Eliot Wolf · Vanderbilt

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