ST · pick 239 — first ever specialist at #239 (2005)

ST·pick 239

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #239

Paul Ernster

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Northern Arizona

2005

STs drafted at #239 in NFL history

most recent: Tommy Doman (BUF, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a specialist at #239 a 2.5% chance in 2005.

Specialist at #239, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#234LBMike SmithBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#235LBCornelius WorthamSEA — GM Tim Ruskell
#236RBLionel GatesBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#237CBChris RobersonJAX — GM James Harris
#238OTJeremy ParquetKC — GM Carl Peterson
#240WRHarry WilliamsNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#241DTDarrell ShropshireATL — GM Rich McKay
#242CScott MruczkowskiLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#243RBAnthony DavisIND — GM Bill Polian
#244RBNoah HerronPIT — GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2026Tommy DomanBUF · Florida
2018Hunter BradleyGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Mississippi St.
2006Ryan PlackemeierSEA — GM Tim Ruskell · Wake Forest

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