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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 236

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #236

Brian Gragert

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Wyoming

1996

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a specialist at #236 a 2.8% chance in 1996.

Specialist at #236, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.2% 1996: 2.8%

Peak: 10.2% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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