ST · pick 233 — first ever specialist at #233 (2017)

ST·pick 233

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #233

Harrison Butker

Drafted by CAR — GM Marty Hurney · Georgia Tech

2017

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a specialist at #233 a 2.6% chance in 2017.

Specialist at #233, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.0% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#228DTJoey IvieDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#229SAdrian ColbertSF — GM John Lynch
#230SJosh Harvey-ClemonsWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#231OTJylan WareLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#232LBElijah LeeMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#234DEEjuan PriceLAR — GM Les Snead
#235CBJoshua HolseyWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#236OTBrad SeatonTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#237WRIsaiah FordMIA — GM Chris Grier
#238RBDevante MaysGB — GM Ted Thompson

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart