ST · pick 23 — first ever specialist at #23 (1973)

ST·pick 23

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #23

Ray Guy

Drafted by LV · Southern Miss

1973

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a specialist at #23 a 1.3% chance in 1973.

Specialist at #23, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.5% · 2027 model: 0.3%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#18SMike HolmesSF
#19WRDarryl StingleyNE
#20TEBilly Joe DupreeDAL
#21WRBarry SmithGB
#22OTPete AdamsCLE
#24CBJ. T. ThomasPIT
#25WRJohnny RodgersLAC
#26OGJoe DeLamielleureBUF
#27TEGary ButlerKC
#28OGGuy MorrissPHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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