ST · pick 229 — first ever specialist at #229 (2004)

ST·pick 229

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #229

David Kimball

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Penn St.

2004

STs drafted at #229 in NFL history

most recent: Jason Sanders (MIA, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a specialist at #229 a 2.3% chance in 2004.

Specialist at #229, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#224STDonnie JonesSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#225QBMatt MauckDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#226DTChristian FerraraSF — GM Terry Donahue
#227OGAdrien ClarkePHI — GM Andy Reid
#228RBCasey CramerTB — GM Bruce Allen
#230DTJared ClaussTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#231OTKevin SampsonKC — GM Carl Peterson
#232TEMichael GainesCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#233CBChristian MortonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#234DETrevor JohnsonNYJ — GM Terry Bradway

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2018Jason SandersMIA — GM Chris Grier · New Mexico
2014Nate FreeseDET — GM Martin Mayhew · Boston Col.

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