ST · pick 228 — first ever specialist at #228 (1999)

ST·pick 228

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #228

Kris Brown

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Nebraska

1999

STs drafted at #228 in NFL history

most recent: Sterling Hofrichter (ATL, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a specialist at #228 a 1.7% chance in 1999.

Specialist at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#223OTRyan YoungNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#224SJoJuan ArmourLV — GM Al Davis era
#225DTRyan HaleNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#226OGRobert HuntTB — GM Rich McKay
#227QBMichael BishopNE — GM Bobby Grier
#229TEMike LuckyDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#230TESheldon JacksonBUF — GM John Butler
#231LBO.J. ChildressNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#232DTJermaine HaleyMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#233RBAutry DensonTB — GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2020Sterling HofrichterATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Syracuse
2016Riley DixonDEN — GM John Elway · Syracuse
2014Zach HockerWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Arkansas

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