ST · pick 224 — first ever specialist at #224 (2004)

ST·pick 224

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #224

Donnie Jones

Drafted by SEA — GM Mike Holmgren · LSU

2004

STs drafted at #224 in NFL history

most recent: Zane Gonzalez (CLE, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a specialist at #224 a 2.3% chance in 2004.

Specialist at #224, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#219RBQuincy WilsonATL — GM Rich McKay
#220TEJeff DuganMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#221OGTony PapeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#222LBDerrick PopeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#223CBJacques ReevesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#225QBMatt MauckDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#226DTChristian FerraraSF — GM Terry Donahue
#227OGAdrien ClarkePHI — GM Andy Reid
#228RBCasey CramerTB — GM Bruce Allen
#229STDavid KimballIND — GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017Zane GonzalezCLE — GM Sashi Brown · Arizona St.

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